Sunday, March 29, 2015

The Status of The Sinaloa Federation in 2015



Origins
            Since its inception in the late 1980s, the Sinaloa Federation, the most dominant drug trafficking organization (DTO) in Mexico, violently competed with rival DTOs in order to attain supremacy over Mexico’s drug trafficking market.[1] Its leaders formed their own organization, along with the Juarez and Tijuana DTOs, in response to the dissolution of the powerful Guadalajara DTO.[2] Prior to its collapse, the Guadalajara DTO was one of the most powerful DTOs with links to Sinaloa.[3] This DTO established the transcontinental smuggling roots for cocaine that are still present today, but the Guadalajara DTO quickly dissolved after Felix Gallardo’s arrest in 1989.[4] Through its fragmentation, it gave rise to the Sinaloa Federation, the Juarez Cartel and the Tijuana Cartel.[5] A fight immediately ensued between these former partners to secure the preeminence previously enjoyed by Felix Gallardo.[6] Under the ambitious leadership of Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzman, the Sinaloa Federation mobilized its forces to control the border towns along the US frontier, precipitating intermittent bloody conflicts and shifting alliances with the aforementioned DTOs as well as with the Gulf Cartel and the Zetas—the latter presently being their main national rival.[7] Although all of these organizations have been fractured from turf wars and aggressive law enforcement tactics, the Sinaloa Federation has emerged as the most powerful DTO in Mexico.[8] At present, the Sinaloa Federation’s territorial sway includes 17 Mexican states, and its distributional territory includes up to 50 countries and myriad cities in the United States.[9] It will likely remain the dominant DTO in Mexico due to its structural and strategic flexibility, its cooptation of police, military and state officials through bribery, and its reputation—or brand—as a more practical and comparatively less brutal criminal organization vis-à-vis the Zetas. Currently, all this impels the government to more overtly combat the Zetas while granting a relative degree of toleration to the Sinaloa Federation.








Structure
        When the Guadalajara DTO disintegrated, Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzman, Ismael “El Mayo” Zambada, Juan Jose “El Azul” Esparragoza Moreno and the Beltran Leyva brothers coalesced to form the core leadership of the Sinaloa Federation.[10] Unlike the Guadalajara DTO, which was highly centralized under the leadership of Felix Gallardo, the Sinaloa Federation is not a hierarchical DTO.[11] It is an assortment of quasi-independent organizations loosely bound together through kinship, matrimony and provincial affiliation.[12] The power structure at the top is set up like a “board of directors.”[13] Cohesion between the bosses is strong, yet power is distributed among them horizontally.[14] Although the top leaders cooperate under a single umbrella, they manage their own distinct organizations, possess their own production and supply networks and subcontract much of the smuggling to regional associates.[15] In Mexico, the Sinaloa DTO possibly employs up to 100,000 associates, but the bosses hardly correspond openly with these subordinates.[16] Instead, they tend to delegate a broad spectrum of goals and commands to the “plaza chiefs,” who independently administer their own disparate smuggling regions as if they were independent “franchises.”[17] These plaza chiefs, in turn, subcontract smuggling and wholesaling responsibilities to local subsidiaries in Mexico and abroad.[18] 
Main Activities
The organization’s main activities include drug production, drug smuggling, money laundering, and the corruption of public officials through bribery, coercion and violence. The organization focuses chiefly on its profitable sectors—drug production and international drug trafficking.[19] The Sinaloa DTO not only distributes the overwhelming majority of South American cocaine and Asian heroin that enters the US market, but it also produces and distributes its own drugs—mainly marijuana, heroin, and methamphetamines.[20] The contraband is smuggled into the US primarily through Tijuana and Ciudad Juarez, and it is the latter that provides highway access to the cartel’s most important transcontinental distribution hub: Chicago.[21] Cash used to purchase these drugs are subsequently smuggled back into Mexico.[22] Consequently, the organization constantly seeks more sophisticated ways to surreptitiously launder and ensconce their profits into the global financial system.[23] Despite its preference to curtail law enforcement, attain impunity and foster transactional efficiency through bribery and corruption, it will not hesitate to employ lethal force against any uncooperative individual or entity that prevents it from accomplishing its goals.[24] Finally, it also employs violence to snuff out national competitors like the Zetas and to assert control over its crucial transportation routes or plazas.[25]
Strengths and Weaknesses
The Sinaloa Federation’s primary strength is its structural durability and flexibility. The disaggregation of production facilities, supply chains, distribution networks and wholesalers mean that a major arrest or seizure will have very limited impact on the organization’s operation overall.[26] This decentralization has also allowed it to acclimate to the cutthroat and volatile atmosphere that it currently faces.[27] Moreover, this decentralized system also shields the bosses from law enforcement detection since they have little direct contact with subordinates.[28] At the top of the structure, its leaders share family ties, regional affiliations and a common history.[29] While this familial bond may not completely erase the possibility of a succession battle during an interregnum, no violence erupted in 2014 as a result of the arrest of El Chapo on the one hand or the death of El Azul on the other.[30] On the contrary, business abounds, which seems to indicate that the organization is flexible in transferring power at the top.[31] More importantly, however, if there were a succession conflict, it is unlikely that it would spread to the entire Federation because most of its subordinates are mere independent subcontractors who are bound to the federation more through economic cooperation rather than political obedience.[32] Indeed, its decentralization makes it easier to forge working alliances even with former rivals such as the Tijuana, Juarez and Gulf Cartels who still retain their independence.[33] Conversely, the main drawback of its decentralized system is the difficultly in preventing organizational secession and rebellion, which is precisely what the Juarez and Beltran Leyva DTOs did in 2008.[34]
Finally, the Sinaloa Federation has a more compelling “brand name” vis-à-vis its barbaric national competitor, the Zetas, whose shocking brutality and predatory criminal activities—human trafficking, protection rackets, extortion and kidnapping—are more detested by the Mexican people and the governments of Mexico and the United States.[35] Indeed, Sinaloa Federation propaganda aims to distance itself from its Zeta counterparts. El Chapo professes, “we want citizens to live in peace…without extortion and kidnapping. We are narcotraffickers and we don’t mess with honest, hardworking people or local businesses.”[36] The Sinaloans have shrewdly exploited this perception to win the Mexican government’s preference.[37] They have also used informants to manipulate Mexican and U.S. law enforcement to focus more intently on its more violent prone adversaries, which aggregate arrest data clearly corroborates.[38]
Conclusion
The Sinaloa Federation’s structural and operational malleability, its shrewd manipulation of strategic alliances, its capacity to corrupt public officials and its brand power have allowed it to propose a more compelling modus vivendi with the Mexican federal government vis-à-vis its rival cartels. This explains why they have outflanked their rivals and asserted their dominance over Mexico’s drug trade and why they will continue to be a formidable challenge to law enforcement in the foreseeable future.

                                                          Bibliography

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Beittel, June S, “Mexico’s Drug Trafficking Organizations: Source and Scope of Violence” Congressional Research Service. 15 April 2013, pgs 1-46.

Bender, Jeremy “Nearly Eight Years into the Drug War, these are Mexico’s 7 Most Notorious Cartels,” Business Insider. 20 October 2014. http://www.businessinsider.com/mexicos-7-most-notorious-drug-cartels-2014-10#ixzz3TAwIGNgp

Burnett John. “Awash in Cash, Drug Cartels Rely on Big Banks to Launder Profits,” NPR. 20 March 2014.  http://www.npr.org/blogs/parallels/2014/03/20/291934724/awash-in-cash-drug-cartels-rely-on-big-banks-to-launder-profits

Dudley, Steven and David Martinez-Amador. “Sinaloa Cartel Succession in Mexico: More Political Intrigue than Violence,” Insight Crime. 27 February 2014. http://www.insightcrime.org/news-analysis/sinaloa-cartel-succession-in-mexico-more-political-intrigue-than-violence

Estevez, Dolia, “FBI Informant Met Drug Lord El Chapo Guzman in Mexican Mountains,” Forbes. 16 October 2014. http://www.forbes.com/sites/doliaestevez/2014/10/16/fbi-informant-met-drug-lord-el-chapo-guzman-in-mexican-mountains/

Gomora, Doris, “La Guerra Secreta de la DEA en Mexico,” El Universal. 06 January 2014. http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/nacion-mexico/2014/impreso/la-guerra-secreta-de-la-dea-en-mexico-212050.html

Gurney, Kyra. “Sinaloa Cartel Leader ‘El Azul’ Dead? ‘El Mayo’ Now in Control?” Insight Crime. 09 June 2014. http://www.insightcrime.org/news-briefs/sinaloa-cartel-leader-el-azul-dead-leaving-el-mayo-in-control

Inzunza, Alejandra and Jose Luis Pardo “Cartel de Sinaloa domina en Nueva York,” El Universal. 24 November 2014. http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/nacion-mexico/2014/cartel-de-sinaloa-domina-en-nueva-york-1056571.html

Johnson, Tim. “Do U.S., Mexican Officials Favor One Cartel Over Another?” Miami Herald, 24 August 2011. Accessed at: http://interamericansecuritywatch.com/do-u-s-mexican-officials-favor-one-cartel-over-another/

Keefe, Patrick Radden, “Cocaine Incorporated” The New York Times Magazine. 15 June 2012.

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Logan, Samuel “The Sinaloa Federation’s International Presence,” CTC Sentinel. 29 April 2013
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McGahan, Jason. “Why Mexico’s Sinaloa Cartel Love Selling Drugs in Chicago,” Chicago Magazine. 17 September 2013. http://www.chicagomag.com/Chicago-Magazine/October-2013/Sinaloa-Cartel/index.php?cparticle=2&siarticle=1#artanc

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“The Cleansing by El Chapo” Borderland Beat. 18 April 2012 http://www.borderlandbeat.com/2012/04/cleansing-by-el-chapo-in-zeta-turf.html

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Tuckman, Jo “Life After El Chapo: a Year on from Drug Kingpin’s Capture, Business is Blooming,” The Guardian. 20 February 2015. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/feb/20/mexico-drugs-trade-el-chapo-arrest-joaquin-guzman-sinaloa-cartel

Valdez, Diana Washington, “Sinaloa Drug Cartel Can Continue Without ‘Chapo’ Guzman, Experts Say” El Paso Times. 02 March 2014. http://www.elpasotimes.com/news/ci_25257894/sinaloa-drug-cartel-can-continue-without-chapo-guzman

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